Intro
  1. Money:
    • Store of value
    • Medium of exchange
    • Unit of account
  2. Finance is a study of investments (for this class)
  3. 'Portfolio Selection' paper from 1952 (risk and return introduced)
  4. Purpose of Financial Markets:
    • Setting Prices - what people are thinking an asset is worth
    • Transferring Risk - insurance?
  5. Assumptions:
    • Agents are selfish
    • Investors prefer more to less
    • Investors don't like risk (prefer less uncertainty)
    • Investors prefer money now to money later
    • No such thing as a free lunch (no such thing as something out of nothing) Arbitrage
    • Financial Markets shift (S == D)
    • Risk sharing and Frictions are central to Financial Innovation
    • Every model is unrealistic (because if its assumptions)
  6. Fixed income:
    • Debt instruments (bonds) ways to borrow and lend money
    • Fixed Cash flow
    • Cash flows are the purchase, coupons and principal
    • Bonds (Government):
      • Treasury Bills (<1 year), Notes (1-10 years) and Bonds (>10 years)
      • Semi-Annual Payments
      • Safe/Risk-Free Assets
    • Corporates (Corporate bonds):
      • Corporate Paper (<1 year), Bonds (>1 year)
      • Different payment priorities (Who gets paid first)
      • Higher yields (higher risk)
      • Different types of risk: credit, liquidity, counter-party
    • Longer bonds tend to have a higher interest yield
    • When the yield curve flips, the recession is coming (".com" bubble, 2008 crisis)
  7. Equity:
    • Ownership of the future cash flows in the project (company)
    • No maturity (no expiration date)
    • Cash flows are stochastic (memoryless, as in - you own a percentage of the profits)
    • Cash flows are subordinate to debts
  8. Equity Indices:
    • Its an indicator of how well the market is doing
    • Looking at a sub-sample of companies in a market
  9. Derivatives Contracts:
    • Futures - Contracts signed today to deliver something in the future
    • Swaps - Exchange two sets of cash flows for a specified amount of time
    • Convertibles - Debt contracts that convert into equity in certain circumstances
    • Options - Contracts that give one party the right to buy or sell a certain security
    • Asset Backed Securities:
      • Securitized products
      • Cash flows are a function of underlying (mortgages, car loans, life insurance)
  10. Types of Markets:
    • Exchange Markets - Third party that guarantees the contract
    • OTC Markets - no third party, there is just a buyer and the seller
  11. Cost of Trade:
    • Brokers Commission
    • Bid-Ask Spread
    • Price impact (price moved by a transaction)
    • Taxes
  12. Types of Transactions:
    • Cash funded (Rare - Cost of borrowing is low, while the reward is higher)
    • Margin funded (Bull) -- Borrow the money -- Going long:
      • Initial margin must be at least 50%
      • Maintenance margin must be at least 30%
      • Margin is defined as Equity / Value of Security
    • Going short (Bear) -- Borrow the asset -- Going short
Time value of money
  1. Asset is a sequence of cashflows (essentially)
  2. Future value is not the same as current value
  3. The difference in future value and current value is called the yield
  4. FV = PV(1 + R)T
    • FV - Future Value
    • PV - Present Value
    • R - Rate of change for a time period
    • T - Number of time periods
  5. All cashflows can be converted to a common exchange point:
    • How much is a £ in a year worth today?
    • How much is a £ today worth in a year?
  6. Discount Factor:
    • How much £1 in the future is worth today
    • The higher the yield, the lower is the discount factor
  7. Discount Bond (Zero Coupon Bond):
    • Issued in primary markets
    • Single payoff at the bond expiration date
  8. Complicated Asset:
    • Multiple payoffs at time intervals in the future
    • PV and FV are the sums of all PVs and FVs in the future (adjusted for compound interest)

9.

FFM: Game Strategy

1.